Country Garden misses bond payments as China property fears flare

2023-08-08 - Scroll down for original article

Company: Country Garden

Summary

Country Garden is the largest privately-owned developer in China. The company has a significant presence in lower-tier cities and had total liabilities of 1.4 trillion yuan ($194 billion) at the end of 2022. However, the company is currently facing repayment troubles and has not paid two dollar bond coupons due on Aug. 6 totalling $22.5 million.

Article Analysis

The article reports that Country Garden is experiencing repayment difficulties, which has led to a decline in its stock price. The company's shares fell 14.4%, their biggest daily drop since December. The company's contracted sales also dropped 30% in the first six months of this year, amid a broader decline in the property sector. Moody's downgraded the firm to "B1" last week, highlighting its constrained funding access and sizable maturing debt over the next 12-18 months.

Market Reaction

Historically, news of repayment troubles and missed bond payments have negatively impacted the stock prices of companies in similar situations. The market tends to react negatively to such news as it raises concerns about a company's financial health and its ability to meet its obligations. The sharp drop in Country Garden's stock price following the news is consistent with this pattern.

Investor Sentiment

The news of Country Garden's repayment troubles and the subsequent drop in its stock price likely have a negative impact on investor sentiment. The downgrade by Moody's and the drop in contracted sales further exacerbate these concerns. The company's difficulties in addressing an interest payment underscore its tight liquidity situation, which could further dampen investor sentiment.

Competitor Comparison

Country Garden's current financial troubles could potentially benefit its competitors, particularly those with stronger financial positions. These competitors could take advantage of the situation to gain market share. However, the broader decline in the property sector could also negatively impact these companies.

Risk Factors

The main risk factors for Country Garden include its repayment troubles, the decline in contracted sales, and the broader downturn in the property sector. The company's sizable maturing debt over the next 12-18 months is another significant risk. If the company is unable to address these issues, it could face further financial difficulties and potential default.

Conclusion

The news of Country Garden's repayment troubles is likely to have a negative impact on the company's stock price in the short term. The company's financial difficulties, coupled with the broader downturn in the property sector, present significant challenges. Investors should closely monitor the company's ability to address its repayment issues and the state of the property sector in China.

Disclaimer

This financial report is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Original Article:

Source: Link

FILE PHOTO: The company logo of Chinese developer Country Garden is displayed at a news conference in Hong Kong By Clare Jim HONG KONG (Reuters) -Country Garden said on Tuesday it has not paid two dollar bond coupons due on Aug. 6 totalling $22.5 million, confirming market fears that the biggest privately owned developer in China is slipping into repayment troubles. The bonds in question are notes due in Feb 2026 and Aug 2030, the firm told Reuters. Both payments have 30-day grace periods, according to investors citing prospectuses. China's giant property sector has seen a string of debt defaults by cash-squeezed developers since late 2021, with China Evergrande Group, the world's most indebted property developer, at the centre of the crisis. Country Garden, which had total liabilities of 1.4 trillion yuan ($194 billion) at the end of 2022 and large exposure in lower-tier cities, told Reuters in a separate statement that it is improving capital arrangements to ensure the legal rights of creditors. It added its usable cash had declined, showing "periodic liquidity stress", due to a deterioration in the sales and refinancing environment, and the impact from various fund regulations. "The company has been holding fast, but it's hard to see the dawn light," it said, highlighting efforts to ensure home deliveries and debt repayments as the industry grapples with "unprecedented difficulties". Country Garden's Hong Kong-listed shares fell 14.4%, their biggest daily drop since December, and most of its dollar bonds sank to below 10 cents on the dollar, according to Duration Finance. Its September 2025 bond traded at 9.21 cents on the dollar at 0827 GMT, down from 14 cents on Monday, while Shenzhen trading of an onshore bond was temporarily suspended after it plunged 28.6%. "The fact that (Country Garden) is struggling to address an interest payment, rather than a full bond principal repayment, perhaps underscores its very tight liquidity," said CreditSight analyst Nicholas Chen. "Given (its) size, we think such an event will have a negative spillover effect for the sector, particularly on investor sentiment towards other privately-run developers that are still afloat." Story continues Property shares have been volatile in recent weeks with contagion worries sparked by liquidity concerns over Country Garden resurfacing and state-backed Sino-Ocean Group seeking to extend bond payments, while investors look to policymakers for more drastic support for the sector. Country Garden's contracted sales dropped 30% to 128.8 billion yuan in the first six months of this year, amid an accelerating drop in the broader property sector. Moody's downgraded the firm to "B1" last week, highlighting its still-constrained funding access and sizable maturing debt over the next 12-18 months. In September, Country Garden has a 5.8 billion yuan bond maturing and a 48 million yuan coupon due, as well put options on a further 3.4 billion yuan of paper. Offshore, a HK$3 billion ($384.2 million) convertible bond matures in December and a $1 billion dollar bond in January. Last week, Country Garden aborted a $300 million share placement at the last minute saying it had not reached a 'final agreement' for the deal to go ahead. It also warned that it would post an unaudited net loss for the six months ending June 30, compared with a net profit of 1,910 million yuan a year earlier. ($1 = 7.2117 Chinese yuan renminbi) ($1 = 7.8088 Hong Kong dollars) (Reporting by Clare Jim; additional reporting by Jason Xue in Shanghai and Scott Murdoch in Sydney; Editing by Muralikumar Anantharaman, Kim Coghill and Lincoln Feast, Kirsten Donovan)